2.10 Sout – 1pt win Red Stripes @ 16/1 (Stan James, SportingBet)*
3.00 Gowr – 1pt e/w My Murphy @ 22/1 (Ladbrokes, Hills)
* no shorter
Total staked 3pts
2.10 – 5f Handicap
Frustrating stuff today, as both intended recommendations have been punted heavily, and that’s especially annoying with Red Stripes, as we were with him last time when fourth over C&D, and would surely have been placed but for his rider allowing him to get over to the inside rail. Hugh Taylor has put him up at 33/1 this morning, and that price was massive. He’s only just a backable price now at 16/1 and I’d not be keen to take any shorter, but the upside is that while Hugh’s selections tends to shorten dramatically in the morning, they can drift back a bit, and the unfashionable connections might see us get a better price with BOG. As mentioned last time, Red Stripes has some pretty smart back-form over 5f, including here, and as a 5-y-o,should be able to stage a renaissance from a lenient mark.
Also of interest – Luv U Always is bred to excel over C&D, and has enough form to make her of interest – in fact, she looks a good thing if her second to Dazacam is taken at face value,with the winner now rated 86, some 24lb higher than when beating the selection by two lengths at Newcastle. Unfortunately, she’s now as short as 4/1, and that’s a little too skinny for me.
3.00 – Thyestes Handicap Chase
My Murphy has finished first and second (to Djakadam) in this race for the past two years, and he definitely pulls out a bit more for race like this, so makes plenty of appeal for each-way punters at 22/1. It’s a tough race as always, and several of those at single figures are interesting, with Tom Taaffe’s Rogue Trader perhaps the most appealing, but My Murphy ought to run his race again, and is the pick of the field based on course form, so rates the bet at current odds.