Monday’s Free Tip

Today’s free tip is below.

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Here’s today’s selection

2.10 – Ayr- Honda Fifty

It’s a case of one more chance for Honda Fifty in the Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle. The son of Arakan is easily the pick of these based on bumper form, and he’s had plausible excuses over hurdles to date. He looked to need the run after an absence at Hexham recently, making headway after the penultimate flight, but tiring up the final climb, while the form of his second to Foster’s Island in the spring looks much better in retrospect. He couldn’t live with Micky Hammond’s gelding at Carlisle in February, but that horse has won three handicaps since, the most recent a week ago off a 22lb higher mark than he was racing off at Carlisle.

Honda Fifty went handicapping after two qualifying runs, and has still had just the five outings over timber, with that second-place finish the best guide to his merits. He had his other rivals well beaten on that occasion, and a lack of late support on his return indicates that he was expected to benefit from the run. That’s my reading, and if I’m correct, he could make a mockery of his current rating of 97, which is 5lb lower than for the Carlisle effort.

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