Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
3:25 Catterick – Turner Girl
TURNER GIRL was left poorly placed when the tempo quickened here last time, and was given a fairly easy time to finish third by Ben Curtis. In the last 12 months, Ed Dunlop has just a 4% strike-rate with horses returning from a break (60+ days), but those running less than a fortnight after a previous outing have won at a rate of 17% in that period, giving punters a profit of €133.90 to a tenner at Betfair SP.
Those stats strongly suggest a marked improvement from Turner Girl, who won over 1¾m here in July from just 1lb lower with Oisin Orr in the saddle. Orr has again been booked, and is fast becoming one of the very best riders in the north of England. Given she was beaten 20 lengths by Turbulent Power here last time and is only 3lb better off, she is unlikely to be much shorter than that mare in the betting, but with Ed Dunlop belatedly hitting form (three winners from six handicap runners in the past week), now would appear to be the perfect time to strike with Turner Girl.