Free Tip for Newcastle

Today’s free tip is below.

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Here’s today’s selection

16.45- Newcastle – Tommy Taylor

This is a competitive 7f handicap, but while we both have obvious reservations, Tommy Taylor caught the attention here based on his course form. By far his best run since joining Edwin Tuer from Ireland was a close fourth over C&D a few runs back after a slow start. He’s not been suited by soft turf in three subsequent runs, and is now 4lb lower than for that good effort, while his lifetime record away from soft ground in Class 4 races at this trip reads 1232.

The problem is his losing run, and what a run! His last win came more than four years ago in a Listed race at York, and such runs tend not to be coincidences. The bottom line is that his form when conditions are right is holding up well, and he ought to go well if getting away on terms. We’d only want to back him each-way, though, and with the dead eight runners declared, I’d leave bets as late as possible to avoid the punters’ nightmare of a late withdrawal.

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